In 2016, Trump saw a landslide win in Iowa over Hillary Clinton, 51.1% to 41.7%. But while the poll indicates a growing lead for the president in Iowa, it shows the Senate race between Republican Sen. Joni Ernst and Democrat Theresa Greenfield getting tighter. In 2016, Trump saw a landslide win in Iowa over Hillary Clinton, 51.1% to 41.7%. Iowa voters are already familiar with Biden and running mate Kamala Harris after the Democratic caucuses earlier in the year. Joe Biden is ahead of Trump 50 percent to 45 percent among likely voters, according to the survey. Under a high-turnout scenario, Greenfield receives 49 percent to Ernst’s 46 percent, while under the lower turnout scenario Greenfield receives 48 percent to Ernst’s 47 percent. Meaning: The Battle for the Future of Capitalism – and America. Biden leads Trump by 5 points in Iowa poll.

Biden's wife, Dr. Jill Biden and Harris’ husband, Doug Emhoff, recently campaigned in Iowa. Results from the survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points. According to poll aggregator Real Clear Politics, Biden has led Trump in three of the last four Iowa polls. Half of those polled said they would not approve of Trump trying to install Ginsburg’s replacement before Election Day, with 47 percent saying they would approve of such a move. Polls. The poll sampled 1,205 likely voters in the state and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 percentage points. According to a mid-September Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, 31% of likely voters polled said the economy was the most important issue in … Iowa has emerged as a … [63][64], Through June 30, 2020, Greenfield had raised $11.5 million, compared to $14.6 million for Ernst. By Wesley Dockery 10/08/20 AT 7:43 PM.

The survey was conducted Oct. 1-5 and came after the first presidential debate and Trump’s coronavirus infection, adding to the list of recent polls that showed the president losing ground to Biden after those two major events. Ernst falls behind, though, when the poll's data is weighted to consider two different likely voter models — one with a higher projected turnout than in 2016 and one with a lower projected turnout. New polls indicate Democratic nominee Joe Biden can potentially flip Iowa in November after Republican President Donald Trump won the red-leaning state in 2016. @WHOhd #iowavotes2020", "Democrats look to unseat Joni Ernst in 2020 Senate race", "House freshmen try to keep it local as presidential race steals the spotlight", "Finkenauer Endorses Greenfield In Effort To Unseat Ernst", "Who will run against Joni Ernst in 2020? Former Iowa Gov. 1 "Someone else" with 2%; Undecided with 8%, Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 3%, "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%, Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 1%; Undecided with 12%, If the only candidates were Ernst and Greenfield, Stewart (L) with 1%; Herzog (I), "Other" and "No one" with 0%; Undecided with 4%, With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election, Stewart (L) with 1; Herzog (I) with 0%; Undecided with 4%, With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election, Herzog (I) and Stewart (L) with 2%; would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%; "Undecided/Refused" with 14%, "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%; Undecided with 7%, Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 4%, Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; Undecided with 3%, Stewart (L) with 2%; Herzog (I) with 1%; Undecided with 2%, "Another candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 7%, Response after pollster addresses respondents with talking points about Ernst and Mauro, "Would consider voting for someone else" with 20%; "unsure" with 6%, Association of Professional Flight Attendants, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, International Association of Bridge, Structural, Ornamental and Reinforcing Iron Workers, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, American Federation of Government Employees, 2018 Iowa Secretary of Agriculture election, 2014 United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 United States Senate election in North Carolina, National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, "United States Senate election in Iowa, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)", "How 2014's Outsiders Became 2020's Insiders", "Iowa's Ernst will run for reelection in 2020", "Politics1 - Online Guide to Iowa Politics", "Candidates gear up campaigns for Iowa U.S. Senate race", "Primary Election - 2020 CANVASS SUMMARY", "State of Iowa 2020 Primary Election Results", "Theresa Greenfield wins the Democratic primary for US Senate in Iowa", "Greenfield wins Senate Democratic primary in Iowa", "Theresa Greenfield to take on Joni Ernst in high-profile battle for U.S. Senate seat", "Democrats Fight for Chance to Take on GOP Sen. Ernst in Iowa", "Theresa Greenfield launches her campaign for #IASEN. New polls indicate Democratic nominee Joe Biden can potentially flip Iowa … Next », North Carolina Senate - Tillis vs. Cunningham, Georgia Senate Special Election - Open Primary, Warnock 30, Loeffler 26, Collins 20, Lieberman 8, Tarver 3, Slowinski, Warnock 41, Loeffler 20, Collins 22, Lieberman 5, Tarver 2, Slowinski, New Hampshire Senate - Messner vs. Shaheen, Colorado Senate - Gardner vs. Hickenlooper, Warnock 36, Loeffler 26, Collins 23, Lieberman 3, Tarver 0, Slowinski 0, Warnock 41, Loeffler 24, Collins 22, Lieberman 3, Tarver 0, Slowinski, Warnock 28, Loeffler 22, Collins 21, Lieberman 3, Tarver 4, Slowinski 2, South Carolina Senate - Graham vs. Harrison, Warnock 31, Loeffler 23, Collins 22, Lieberman 9, Tarver 4, Slowinski, Warnock 19, Loeffler 23, Collins 19, Lieberman 7, Tarver 4, Slowinski, Warnock 23, Loeffler 23, Collins 23, Lieberman 11, Tarver 3, Slowinski 3, Warnock 20, Loeffler 24, Collins 21, Lieberman 11, Tarver 5, Slowinski 3. She's been highly sought after by the party", "Retired Navy Admiral Michael Franken to run for U.S. Senate, challenge Joni Ernst", "Women protest in hundreds of U.S. cities for third straight year", "Iowa US Senate Candidate Kimberly Graham for the People", "Guess we'll wait for the official thing tomorrow AM, but FYI", "U.S. Senate candidate Cal Woods looking to take on 'climate crisis' if elected", "Cal Woods drops out of Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate race", "Confirmed: Iowa Democrat @RepCindyAxne running for re-election in the 3rd District. Among likely Iowa voters polled, Trump holds a 49-46 advantage over Biden. Iowa has trended to Republicans in recent years, as the party has dominated in statewide elections. 23
It's unclear if Biden or Trump would benefit from stronger voter turnout. The Monmouth poll was conducted by phone from Sept. 18-22, with 402 registered voters in Iowa. Other surveys conducted last month showed Trump leading in Iowa, and actually building his advantage over Biden compared with earlier polls. [14], Major media describe the campaign as one of the most likely to decide control of the Senate after the 2020 election. Contributors needed to reach the goal: 459.

", "Senate recruiting notebook: Duran clarifies field facing Gardner", "Sen. Liz Mathis meets with Democrats in D.C. to talk about 2020 Senate race", "Who's Gearing Up To Challenge Joni Ernst?

Cosmonaut Captures Stunning Images Of Record-Setting Soyuz Launch From ISS, Kraft Reacts To Backlash From Controversial ‘Send Noods’ Campaign, The Possibilities AND the Pitfalls of Remote Work, Marketing vs. “In varying degrees, three critical states in three very different parts of the country come to the same ominous conclusion,” Quinnipiac polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a release. Select any poll to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state.

[59][60][61][62] As of September 5, 2020, political handicappers The Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race as a toss-up. More than 60 percent of female voters in Iowa and Pennsylvania supported the Democratic nominee, as did 56 percent of those surveyed in Florida. Democrats will need three to four seats to retake the Senate. The polling period ended the same day — Monday — that Trump made a dramatic return to the White House from Walter Reed military hospital, likely excluding any potential bump the president may have gotten from the move. Poll sponsored by The Human Rights Campaign, which has endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period. A Morning Consult survey from February showed Trump with a negative net approval rating of 5 points. 2020 elections. Click here for all Iowa Senate Polls: Projection History; Date Projection Old Rating New Rating; October 02, 2020: Greenfield +5.0: Weak DEM Gain: Mod DEM Gain: June 15, 2020: Greenfield +1.0: Mod GOP Hold: Weak DEM Gain: Preliminary----Mod GOP Hold: Support Election Projection. Iowa Polls: How Trump, Biden Are Faring In A Swing State With A Key Senate Race. But while the poll indicates a growing lead for the president in Iowa, it shows the Senate race between Republican Sen. Joni Ernst and Democrat Theresa Greenfield getting tighter. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501 that supports the Republican Party. The former vice president is ahead of Trump 50 percent to 45 percent among likely voters, according to the survey. 2020 Elections. For direct links to Senate or presidential polling detail in each state, see these maps. However, Iowa is seen as a state that has the potential to swing back to Democrats.

Theresa Greenfield, the Democratic challenger in the state’s Senate contest, leads incumbent Sen. Joni Ernst by the identical margin in the Quinnipiac survey. Poll Results Spread; Iowa Senate - Ernst vs. Greenfield: WHO-TV 13: Greenfield 51, Ernst 39: Greenfield +12: New Hampshire Senate - Messner vs. Shaheen: UNH* Shaheen 54, Messner 41: Shaheen +13: Biden is up 51 percent to 40 percent in Florida, and leads by an even larger margin — 54 percent to Trump’s 41 percent support — in Pennsylvania. The 2020 United States Senate election in Iowa will be held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Poll sponsored by the Eddie Mauro campaign, Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation. Axne is in her first term after defeating two term incumbent @RepDavidYoung in 2018. That poll also had the Senate race as a dead heat. That’s a wider gap than in August, when a Monmouth survey found Trump with 48 percent to Biden’s 45 percent, signaling that the president may be solidifying his support as November's election draws nearer. The gender divide is similarly large in Iowa’s Senate race, where both major party candidates are women, with 59 percent of female respondents saying they were supporting Greenfield compared with 37 percent who were in favor of Ernst. The RealClearPolitics polling average has Biden up by 1.4 percentage points over the president, and Greenfield 5 points ahead of Ernst in a closely watched contest that could determine which party controls the Senate. The Monmouth University poll shows Trump with 50 percent support among registered voters there, compared with Biden’s 44 percent. The Quinnipiac survey showed Greenfield leading Ernst, 50%-45%. The Cook Political Report rates the presidential race in 2020 as a "toss up." The survey of 780 likely voters was conducted from Sept. 23 to 26, and has a margin of error of 4 points. Primaries were held on June 2.

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